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Post by Sílený Jízda on Sept 10, 2008 20:28:02 GMT -6
Please keep this topic to Hurricane Ike specific information only. Evacuation routes, evacuation points, and shelter locations only please. I will try to update information as I can as the situation develops. If you are located in the Wharton County and surrounding counties area you may find useful information here. Other direct information postings in here is welcome and encouraged. Keep all discussion in the other topics. 000 WTNT34 KNHC 122030 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 47 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 400 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...IKE'S FURY AIMED AT THE UPPER TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA COAST... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO NORTH OF PORT ARANSAS TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER... INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.5 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES...220 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 240 MILES...385 KM... EAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS. IKE HAS BEEN MOVING BETWEEN THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE TODAY OR EARLY SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE BUT COULD REACH THE COAST AS A CATEGORY THREE...MAJOR HURRICANE. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN STRONGER GUSTS...ARE LIKELY ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH A FEW SPOTS TO NEAR 25 FEET...ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE EXTENDS A GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE CYCLONE. WATER LEVELS HAVE ALREADY RISEN BY MORE THAN 5 FEET ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST. DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE IN THE EYE. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR OR JUST AFTER THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL. IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...27.7 N...93.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 600 PM CDT AND 800 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$
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Post by Sílený Jízda on Sept 10, 2008 21:15:25 GMT -6
000 WTNT24 KNHC 122030 TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 47 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 2100 UTC FRI SEP 12 2008
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO NORTH OF PORT ARANSAS TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER... INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 93.5W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT.......105NE 90SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT.......150NE 150SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT.......240NE 200SE 150SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..390NE 360SE 270SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 93.5W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 93.1W
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 29.0N 94.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT...105NE 90SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...240NE 200SE 150SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.5N 96.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 150SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 35.0N 94.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 38.5N 89.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z...ABSORBED BY A COLD FRONT
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N 93.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
FORECASTER AVILA $$
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Post by Sílený Jízda on Sept 10, 2008 21:19:02 GMT -6
000 WTNT44 KNHC 122031 TCDAT4 HURRICANE IKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 47 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 500 PM EDT FRI SEP 12 2008
IKE HAS BEEN UNDER CONSTANT SURVEILLANCE BY BOTH NOAA AND AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT. THE DATA INDICATE THAT THE STRUCTURE OF IKE HAS CHANGED VERY LITTLE AND THE HURRICANE CONTINUES WITH A LARGE WIND FIELD AND LACKS A WELL-DEFINED TIGHT INNER CORE. INITIAL INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 90 KNOTS. AS MENTIONED EARLIER...THERE IS STILL A CHANCE THAT IKE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL...BUT BASICALLY THIS IS LARGELY IRRELEVANT SINCE WE ARE ONLY TALKING ABOUT A 10-KNOT WIND INCREASE. STATE OF THE ART TECHNIQUES TO FORECAST INTENSITY AND MY SKILLS ARE NOT GOOD ENOUGH TO PREDICT SUCH CHANGE WITH PRECISION. ALL WE NEED TO DO AT THIS THIS TIME IS TO BE READY FOR A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE. IKE WILL WEAKEN AFTER LANDFALL...AND IT IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY 48 HOURS...AND MERGE WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM BY 72 HOURS.
IKE HAS CONTINUED ITS PUSH TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS. THE STEERING CURRENTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL ON THE UPPER TEXAS COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. I AM CONFIDENT IN THE TRACK FORECAST SINCE THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE IS VERY TIGHT AND MODELS TAKE IKE NOWHERE BUT TO THE UPPER TEXAS COAST. ONCE INLAND...IKE SHOULD REACH THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND TURN NORTHWARD AND NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL IT BECOMES ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM IN 2 TO 3 DAYS.
ONE SHOULD EMPHASIZE THAT IKE IS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE AND REGARDLESS OF WHERE THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE MAKES LANDFALL...THE EFFECTS WILL BE FELT AT LARGE DISTANCES FROM THE CENTER. IN ADDITION...THE LARGEST STORM SURGE WILL OCCUR WITHIN THE ONSHORE FLOW NEAR OR JUST AFTER LANDFALL. A GAGE INDICATES THAT THE WATER LEVEL HAS ALREADY RISEN MORE THAN 9 FEET ON PART OF GALVESTON ISLAND.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 12/2100Z 27.7N 93.5W 90 KT 12HR VT 13/0600Z 29.0N 94.8W 95 KT 24HR VT 13/1800Z 31.5N 96.0W 65 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 14/0600Z 35.0N 94.5W 30 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 14/1800Z 38.5N 89.5W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 15/1800Z...ABSORBED BY A COLD FRONT
FORECASTER AVILA $$
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Post by Sílený Jízda on Sept 10, 2008 21:28:18 GMT -6
SCHOOL CLOSINGS & SPORTS CANCELLATIONS/size]
Clear Creek ISD -- All campuses will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
Calhoun County ISD -- All schools will be closed Friday, Sept. 12. Also Online
High school games changed, cancelled
Brazosport ISD -- All schools will be closed Wednesday, Sept. 10, Thursday, Sept. 11 and Friday, Sept. 12.
Brazosport College -- Classes will be dismissed at 10 a.m. Wednesday, Sept. 10 and resume Monday, Sept. 15
Matagorda ISD -- All schools will be closed Thursday, Sept. 11 and Friday, Sept. 12.
Bay City ISD -- All schools will be closed and all school-related activities canceled on Thursday, Sept. 11 and Friday, Sept. 12.
Van Vleck ISD -- All schools will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12. Van Vleck ISD is in Matagorda County.
HISD -- Superintendent Abelardo Saavedra has decided to CANCEL all ATHLETIC EVENTS and FIELD TRIPS that are scheduled for Friday, Saturday and Sunday, Sept. 12-14. Additionally, all after-school athletic events and field trips which require travel outside of Harris County on Thursday are canceled.
Boling ISD -- All schools will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
University of Houston-Victoria -- The University of Houston-Victoria will close beginning at 10 p.m. Wednesday, Sept. 9 and remain closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12, because of Hurricane Ike. The university is tentatively scheduled to re-open at noon Monday.
Wharton ISD -- Schools will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12, due to Hurricane Ike. Classes will resume Monday, Sept. 15.
Columbia-Brazoria ISD -- All classes and school district activities are canceled for Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11 - 12. Classes are expected to resume on Monday.
Friendswood ISD -- All schools will be closed on Friday, Sept. 12 due to anticipation of Hurricane Ike and the expected tropical force winds.
Primrose School of South Shore in League City -- The school will be closed on Friday, Sept. 12.
Danbury ISD -- All campuses and facilities will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12. Classes will resume on Monday, Sept. 15.
Hitchcock ISD -- All campuses will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
Huntsville ISD -- All campuses will be closed Thursday, Friday and Monday, Sept. 11-15.
West Columbia Charter School -- The school campus will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12. It's set to re-open Monday.
East Bernard ISD -- All campuses will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12. Classes resume Monday.
El Campo ISD -- All campuses and offices will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
Galveston ISD -- All campuses will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
Brazos ISD -- All campuses will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
Dickinson ISD -- All campuses will close schools two hours early on Thursday, Sept. 11 and remain closed on Friday, Sept. 12.
Wharton County Junior College -- All campuses and extension centers will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12. All activities and events are also canceled.
Santa Fe ISD -- All campuses will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12. They are set to re-open Monday, Sept. 15.
La Porte ISD -- All campuses will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12. All extracurricular activities will be canceled beginning Thursday, Sept. 11.
San Jacinto College -- The campus will close at 10 p.m. Wednesday, Sept. 10 and will remain closed Thursday through Sunday, Sept. 11-14. It’s set to re-open Monday, Sept. 15.
Galveston College -- The campus will be closed Thursday, Friday and Saturday, Sept. 11-13. Classes resume on Monday, Sept. 15.
Texas Chiropractic College--TCC will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12. National Board Exams at Texas Chiropractic Clinic have been canceled.
Dayton ISD -- All campuses will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12. Classes will resume on Monday, Sept. 15.
Cleveland ISD -- All campuses will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
Texas City ISD -- All campuses will be closed Friday, Sept. 12. All school activities have been canceled from the close of school on Thursday, Sept. 11 through Saturday, Sept. 13.
Friendswood ISD -- All campuses will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
College of the Mainland -- The campus will be closed starting Thursday, Sept. 11 through Sunday, Sept. 14. It will re-open Monday, Sept. 15.
Alvin Community College -- The campus will close at 6 p.m. Wednesday, Sept. 10 and remain closed through Sunday, Sept. 14. Classes will resume on Monday, Sept. 15.
La Marque ISD -- All school activities have been canceled starting at the close of school on Thursday, Sept. 11, through Saturday, Sept. 13. Classes will resume Monday.
Goose Creek CISD -- All campuses will be closed on Friday, Sept. 12. Also, all extracurricular activities, staff development and meetings have been canceled for Thursday, Friday and Saturday, Sept. 11-13.
Hardin ISD -- All campuses will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
Alvin ISD -- All campuses will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
University of Houston-Clear Lake -- The campus will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
Tarkington ISD -- All campuses will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
Anahuac ISD -- All campuses will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
Trinity Episcopal School -- The school will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
Grace School -- The school will dismiss students at 11:30 a.m. Thursday, Sept. 11 and be closed Friday, Sept. 12.
Lee College -- All classes and campus acivities will be canceled beginning at 5:30 p.m. Thursday, Sept. 11 through Sunday, Sept. 14. This includes classes offered at the San Jacinto Mall, I-10 McNair Career Center, Huffman, Mont Belvieu, Liberty, Dayton and Anahuac.
Liberty ISD -- All campuses will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
Deer Park ISD -- All campuses will be closed Friday, Sept. 12. All after-school activities have been canceled from Thursday, Sept. 11 through the weekend.
Shekinah Radiance Academy -- The campus will close at 12:30 p.m. Thursday, Sept. 11 and all day on Friday, Sept. 12. Classes will resume on Monday.
Primrose School of Pearland and Primrose School of Pearland Parkway -- Both schools will be closed on Friday, Sept. 12. They will re-open on Monday Sept. 15.
Huffman ISD -- All students will be released early on Thursday, Sept. 11. Elementary school students will be dismissed at 10:30 a.m. and secondary campus students at 11:30 a.m. All campuses will be closed on Friday, Sept. 12.
Pasadena ISD -- All schools will be closed on Friday, Sept. 12.
The Galloway School -- The school will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
Palmer Preschool -- The school will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
Family Christian Academy -- The school will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12. Classes will resume Monday, Sept. 15.
Pearland Kindercare Learning Center -- It will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
Texas A&M Galveston -- Classes have been cancelled starting Thursday, Sept. 11 through Sunday, Sept. 14.
Shepherd ISD -- All campuses will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12. Classes will resume Monday.
Galena Park ISD -- All schools will be closed on Friday, Sept. 12.
OTHER CLOSINGS
Social Security Offices -- Offices in Alice, Angleton, Corpus Christi, Galveston and Victoria will be closed Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12.
VA Outpatient Clinics -- The Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center has canceled all appointments at the outpatient clinics in Galveston and Texas City on Friday, Sept. 12.
Anahuac National Wildlife Refuge – The refuge will be closed beginning at 10 a.m. Thursday, Sept. 11. This will apply to the September teal hunt on the refuge as well. It will re-open once the mandatory evacuation order has been lifted.
Missouri City -- As the City of Missouri City makes preparations for Hurricane Ike, the City will close for regular business on Thursday, Sept. 11, at noon and will remain closed until further notice.
Kroger -- Due to the approach of Hurricane Ike and the resulting mandatory evacuations, Kroger has closed its store in Freeport, Texas and anticipates closing its stores in Lake Jackson and Clute, Texas Thursday, Sept. 11.
FunCare Children's Center -- The day care will be closing at 4 p.m. Thursday, Sept. 11 and all day Friday, Sept. 12.
CANCELLATIONS
Angleton City services -- All city services have been canceled for Thursday and Friday, Sept. 11-12. This includes all trash collection, recycling pick-up, services at City Hall and the Recreation Center.
Amtrak -- Amtrak has temporarily suspended service to and from parts of Texas.
UNCF Walk for Education -- On behalf of the Houston Leadership Council, the 23rd Annual UNCF Walk for Education has been canceled.
SPORTS CANCELLATIONS
Brazoria County:
Manvel High School has canceled all athletics.
Columbia ISD- canceled all events
Sweeny ISD- canceled all events
Danbury ISD- canceled all events
Damon ISD- canceled all events
Matagorda County:
Bay City ISD- canceled all events
Tidehaven ISD- canceled all events
Palacios ISD- canceled all events
Van Vleck ISD- canceled all events
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Post by Sílený Jízda on Sept 11, 2008 10:42:06 GMT -6
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Post by Sílený Jízda on Sept 12, 2008 16:38:33 GMT -6
Flood Watch
FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 432 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-140230- /O.CON.KHGX.FA.A.0001.080912T1400Z-080914T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND- GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA- MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON- WHARTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALVIN...ANAHUAC...ANGLETON...BAY CITY... BELLVILLE...BRENHAM...BROOKSHIRE...BRYAN...CALDWELL...CLEVELAND... COLDSPRING...COLLEGE STATION...COLUMBUS...CONROE...CORRIGAN... CROCKETT...DAYTON...EAGLE LAKE...EDNA...EL CAMPO...FREEPORT... FRIENDSWOOD...GALVESTON...GROVETON...HEMPSTEAD...HOUSTON... HUMBLE...HUNTSVILLE...KATY...LAKE JACKSON...LAKE SOMERVILLE... LEAGUE CITY...LIBERTY...LIVINGSTON...MADISONVILLE... MISSOURI CITY...MONT BELVIEU...NAVASOTA...ONALASKA...PALACIOS... PASADENA...PEARLAND...PIERCE...PRAIRIE VIEW...RICHMOND... ROSENBERG...SEALY...SHEPHERD...SUGAR LAND...TEXAS CITY... THE WOODLANDS...TOMBALL...TRINITY...WEIMAR...WHARTON...WILLIS... WINNIE 432 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
* A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...AUSTIN...BRAZORIA...BRAZOS...BURLESON...CHAMBERS... COLORADO...FORT BEND...GALVESTON...GRIMES...HARRIS...HOUSTON... JACKSON...LIBERTY...MADISON...MATAGORDA...MONTGOMERY...POLK... SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...WALKER...WALLER...WASHINGTON AND WHARTON.
* FROM 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
* HURRICANE IKE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST LATE FRIDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN BANDS WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS LATER THIS MORNING AND INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED AS IKE MOVES INLAND LATE TONIGHT SATURDAY MORNING.
* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL EAST OF A COLLEGE STATION TO SUGARLAND TO FREEPORT.
FLOODING WILL BE EXACERBATED IN PORTIONS OF HARRIS AND GALVESTON COUNTIES DUE TO UNUSUALLY HIGH TIDE LEVELS. HIGH TIDE LEVELS WILL BLOCK AREA BAYOUS FROM DRAINING EFFICIENTLY.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION...FORECASTS...AND WARNINGS.
$$
Hurricane Wind Warning
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 423 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING RAPIDLY AS IKE APPROACHES...
AT 400 PM CDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.5 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.
IKE HAS BEEN MOVING BETWEEN THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. A NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE TODAY OR EARLY SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE BUT COULD REACH THE COAST AS A CATEGORY THREE...MAJOR HURRICANE. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN STRONGER GUSTS...ARE LIKELY ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS.
IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.
TXZ163-164-176>179-198-199-212-226-227-132130- /O.CON.KHGX.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080914T1200Z/ FORT BEND-GRIMES-HOUSTON-MADISON-MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO- TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WHARTON- 423 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
CHANGED WINDS AND INLAND FLOODING SECTIONS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
FORT BEND...GRIMES...HOUSTON...MADISON...MONTGOMERY...POLK... SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...WALKER...WALLER...WHARTON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE THEIR PROPERTIES FOR THE EXPECTATION OF DAMAGING WINDS. SECURE OR REMOVE ANY LOOSE ITEMS SURROUNDING YOUR PROPERTY WHICH COULD BE BLOWN AROUND BY TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. TRIM TREES NEAR YOUR PROPERTY.
MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE DAMAGE. SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED. HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO SHINGLES...SIDING... AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT. UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME AIRBORNE... CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.
MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO REACH INTO THE HEMPSTEAD TO CONROE TO LIVINGSTON CORRIDOR THIS EVENING. THESE WINDS WILL SPREAD NORTH TO THE HUNTSVILLE...MADISONVILLE...LIVINGSTON...AND CROCKETT AREAS AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE LIKELY AND SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA BEGINNING BETWEEN 2 AND 5 AM TONIGHT AND LASTING THROUGH MID MORNING SATURDAY. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 90 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IKE WILL BEGIN ACROSS THE AREA VERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 5 TO 7 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY AS IKE MOVES ONSHORE. YOU SHOULD PLAN TO SEEK SHELTER IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 630 PM CDT.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 638 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226- 227-235>238-131145- AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND- GALVESTON-GALVESTON BAY-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY- MADISON-MATAGORDA-MATAGORDA BAY-MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO- TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON- WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM-WHARTON- 638 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
HURRICANE IKE IS STILL ON TRACK TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST SOME TIME LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. IMPACTS FROM IKE WILL BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING WITH INCREASING WINDS. BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY BEGIN DURING THE LATE MORNING NEAR THE COAST AND THEN SPREAD INLAND DURING THE EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE EARLY FRIDAY EVENING NEAR THE COAST AND SPREAD INLAND OVERNIGHT AS THE EYE CROSSES THE COAST. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH IKE. THERE WILL ALSO BE A TORNADO THREAT WITH SOME OF THE RAINBANDS AS IKE MOVES ONSHORE. RESIDENTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS ON IKE. HURRICANE PLAN AND PREPARATIONS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
HURRICANE IKE WILL CONTINUE ITS JOURNEY ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. HEAVY RAIN DURING THE MORNING WILL PRODUCE SOME FLOODING ALONG AREA BAYOUS AND OTHER LOW AREAS. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL DIMINISH DURING THE DAY AS IKE PULLS AWAY. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE REQUIRED.
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